Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work
Magnificent Noise x Richard Kramer x Will Page
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We're Taking A Break!
Feb 17 2025 • 1 mins
After 138 episodes and almost four years to the day since we recorded our first one, Will and Richard have decided to take a short break.
We do plan to continue Bubble Trouble, and we are not short of bubbles that are causing trouble, but we want to take time to recharge and reflect on how we can make the show better than ever.
We hope you’ll look back through the archives as there are so many episodes that are every bit as relevant today as they were in 2021 when we started. We’ll have word soon on when you can expect new episodes, but thanks so much for listening.
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An X-Rated Account of Twitter with Kurt Wagner
Feb 03 2025 • 47 mins
Who doesn’t like to talk about Twitter and Tweets? Word of mouth (or tweet) is the secret sauce of its success. But has it ever been successful? And if it hasn’t, how do you gauge the impact of Elon Musk’s shock therapy over the past two years? Journalist Kurt Wagner joins to share his deep dive profile of the tortured history of Twitter. [Repeat from May, 2024]
For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com
You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/
More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com
(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)
This episode of Bubble Trouble features a conversation with Bloomberg journalist Kurt Wagner, author of 'Battle for the Bird,' a book about Twitter's tumultuous history and evolution, particularly under Elon Musk's ownership. The hosts, independent analyst Richard Kramer and economist Will Page, delve into Twitter’s origins, its struggle to monetize effectively compared to giants like Meta, and the significant influence of Jack Dorsey’s leadership style on the platform's direction. They discuss the platform's missed opportunities, such as Vine and Periscope, and how it became a place where 'good ideas go to die.' The discussion also covers Musk's takeover, his attempts to transform Twitter into 'X', and the challenges of balancing free speech with the need for content moderation and advertiser appeal. Wagner shares insights on the potential future of 'X', the impact of Musk's leadership on the platform's advertising and user engagement, and the skepticism surrounding the 'everything app' concept Musk envisions.
00:00 Introduction
01:02 Part One
01:02 Deep Dive with Kurt Wagner: The Story of Twitter
02:36 The Origins and Evolution of Twitter
06:20 Twitter's User Base and Business Model Explored
09:10 The Challenges of Twitter's Business Model
14:10 Board Dynamics and Google's Influence on Twitter
18:03 Extravagant Spending and Corporate Culture at Twitter
21:13 Reflections on Twitter's Stock Performance
23:47 The Almost Disney-Twitter Deal: A Glimpse into Corporate Negotiations
24:29 Twitter's Quest for a Savior and Its Struggle for Independence
25:53 Missed Opportunities: The Story of Vine and Periscope
27:27 Part Two
27:27 Transition to Part Two: The Elon Musk Era at Twitter
27:49 The Challenges of Rebranding Twitter to X and Musk's Controversial Leadership
28:32 The Impact of Elon Musk's Actions on Twitter's Ad Revenue and Brand Safety
36:52 The Struggle with Bots and Spam: Has It Gotten Worse?
40:06 Free Speech Under Musk: A Double-Edged Sword
44:26 The Everything App Ambition: A Skeptical View
46:33 Closing Thoughts and Acknowledgements
47:01 Credits
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Tectonic Shifts in TV with Doug Shapiro
Jan 27 2025 • 56 mins
This week let’s settle back to our sofas, grab our remote controls and work out what to watch with Doug Shapiro, among the most prominent voices in the world of television and its tech disrupters. His clear and concise work, all available to watch and read on his website is the go to for thousands.
For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com
You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/
More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com
(Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)
In this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts delve into the intricacies of media disruption with Doug Shapiro, a prominent voice in TV, economics, and tech. Celebrating over a century of their show's success, they explore topics such as the supply and demand curve changes, the potential of AI in content creation, and the future of media companies amidst technological advancements. Shapiro offers insights into the tectonic shifts affecting the industry, from the rise of new media over traditional formats to the economic implications of infinite content in a world of fixed demand. The discussion also touches on intellectual property, the ethics surrounding AI, and the challenges faced by incumbents in adapting to rapid innovation.
00:00 Introduction
00:42 Part One
00:49 Guest Introduction: Doug Shapiro
01:12 Doug Shapiro's Career Journey
02:12 The Evolution of Media Consumption
03:50 Supply and Demand in Media
07:19 Generative AI and Content Creation
10:32 The Future of Media Distribution
23:09 The Creator Economy and Power Laws
27:13 Part Two
27:30 Hollywood vs. Big Tech
30:00 AI's Impact on Hollywood: A Double-Edged Sword
30:44 Disruption in the Entertainment Industry
31:23 The Future of High-End Content
32:06 AI as a Productivity Tool in Hollywood
32:46 The Rise of AI-Enabled Studios
33:43 Introducing Sora: The Future of Content Creation
35:14 The Turing Test in Video Content
38:22 Local Content vs. Global Tent Poles
40:21 The Copyright Conundrum
41:56 The Dirty Deal: Media and Tech Collusion
48:06 The Fair Use Debate
50:59 Disruption is Hard: Lessons from Netflix
54:22 Concluding Thoughts and Future Outlook
55:42 Credits
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